On September 16, Senator Max Baucus unveiled a newly revised federal health care reform bill. I'll leave it to others to give the bill a thumbs-up or a Bronx cheer. I was intrigued, though, with one of its provisions: out-of-pocket spending on health insurance would be capped at 13% of household income for most Americans.
This is a recognition that the nation's health crisis is not about cost – it's about price.
To call a price a "cost" is to suggest that it's an expense that's both unavoidable and non-negotiable. In the US, conventional wisdom says that health insurance "costs" always go up.
Massachusetts Solved Half the Problem
The Baucus plan proposes a mandate for individuals to buy health insurance; prevents insurers from denying coverage due to pre-existing conditions; and provides government subsidies for those who need them. All of these elements are part of Massachusetts' 2006 reform plan.
The state's plan has fulfilled one goal of health care reform, which is to reduce the ranks of the uninsured. Insurance prices in Massachusetts, however, have continued to climb.
This Boston Globe piece informs us that the price of insurance will rise 10% next year, after a decade in which such prices have doubled. "It's all about medical costs going up," according to an insurer's spokesman.
One Handshake Can Move a Market
What's driving these "costs"? Mandated coverage and an aging population may only be part of the answer. In a 2008 investigative report that deserves wider notice, the Globe revealed a "market covenant" between a major Massachusetts insurance company and a large hospital chain. In 2000, Blue Cross agreed to increase its payments to Partners HealthCare, and, crucially, also assured the hospital that it would grant similar hikes to the other providers in the state. Partners, in turn, would request increases in payments from other insurers.
The deal was sealed with a handshake between the two firms' top executives.
The Globe wrote that "individual insurance premiums have risen 8.9% a year ever since the 'market covenant,' state figures show, more than twice the annual rise in the late 1990s." The article also includes a comment from Partners, the hospital chain:
"Partners officials stressed that its contract with Blue Cross in 2000 was far from unique, noting that big teaching hospitals across the country cut favorable contracts with insurers in 2000 and 2001, creating a shift in political power from the HMOs to the hospitals."
Corporate bargaining practices affect the price – not the "cost" – of health care. Some practices should raise red flags for policymakers, and for investors who consider environmental, social and governance (ESG) factors in their research. Well-established companies whose margins depend on "market covenants" may be riskier than they seem.
Inflation is Not Inevitable
This is why the Senate price-cap proposal is so significant. It requires healthcare providers to innovate and cut costs, or lose customers to those who do. This is the normal ebb and flow of a market economy, and its action brings us iPods that cost less than phonographs did 30 years ago.
Wiser observers than I have explained why, for consumers, the health care market is not like that for music players. In the context of wholesale bargaining between two companies, however, it really doesn't matter what's being bought or sold; what matters is how their actions affect competing buyers and sellers.
Timothy Noah at Slate has done an excellent job of explaining how the US health care sector's price hikes have contributed to a broader stagnation in American wages. In an economy that remains short of jobs and low on buying power, real reform would shield workers and employers from paying the price of a handshake.